Take Manchester City out of the nine seasons from 2009/10 to 2017/18 and Manchester United are champions four times, not two. They finish in the top four seven times, not six, and hold a Champions League place by league position in seven seasons, not six. In 2014/15 they also skip the play-off round.
None of it is a real climb. In six seasons United finished below City, and all six are the free place and nothing more: United step into the place City leave. When United finished second to City, that one place is the title. It happens twice, in 2011/12 and 2017/18. In the other three seasons United finished above City, and there was no place to take.
So the rebuilt roll of champions reads United, United, United from 2010/11 to 2012/13. Two of those are real. 2010/11 is still United’s, by eight instead of nine, with Rooney’s overhead-kick derby winner gone. 2012/13 is still Ferguson’s last title, by 12 instead of 11, without Van Persie’s stoppage-time winner at the Etihad.
The points run the other way. United took 24 points off City in 18 league games, seven wins, three draws and eight defeats, and every one comes off. Six came in 2009/10, joint most with Spurs and Everton that season: Owen’s and Scholes’s stoppage-time derby winners. United finish second on 79 either way, and a title Chelsea won by a point is won by seven.
2011/12
Champions by 20
City won 2011/12 on goal difference, level on 89 points. Sergio Agüero’s 94th-minute goal against QPR came 15 seconds after United’s final whistle at Sunderland, where they had won 1–0. The goal still happened. Without City, it has no table to land in.
United have nothing to hand back. City beat them in both derbies: 6–1 at home in October, United’s heaviest home defeat since February 1955, and 1–0 away in April. So all 89 points stand, and the nearest club is Spurs on 69. The defeat at Wigan and the 4–4 with Everton stay in. Nobody is close enough for them to matter.
It is David de Gea’s first season in England, too. United signed him from Atlético Madrid in June 2011, and he started 29 league games. Rebuilt, that first season ends with United champions.
2017/18
Champions by one
City’s 100 points left United 19 behind. Take City out and United go from runners-up to champions, just. The 3–2 at the Etihad in April comes off, and Paul Pogba’s two goals in two minutes with it. The 2–1 defeat at Old Trafford in December, the derby that ended in a tunnel row, had earned nothing. 81 becomes 78.
Spurs finish on 77, with the better goal difference: +43 to +40. It never comes into it. United even lose 1–0 at home to West Brom, the side who finish bottom, on 15 April, and still hold on by a point. For José Mourinho, a fourth English title. For United, a 21st.